Sunday, 31 July 2016

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Flora - Levadia

Tallinn derby time has come. On Monday evening, will meet for the third time this year (1:2 90+5 and 0:0). An important game ahead for both in race to a title and run to catch contact with leading Infonet. Before kick off scheduled fixture offers exciting duel, but in reality this tie should be very tide battle. Both clubs come back from overish results, however in truth clubs from Tallinn always play close, in previous season Meistriliiga 2015 4/4 under 2.5 arrived on a cart. Monday remains a good day to break long streak full of goals. 

Published Aug-01-2016, 01:23 CET
Betting option: Under / Over
Pick: Under 2.5Odds: 2.1   Stake: 10
Bookmaker: Skybet
Date: Aug-01-2016
Category: Estonian football

Varnamo - Degerfors

Varnamo stands at 5th position at the table in Swedish second league, they showed improving in comparison to a previous season but it will still be hard to reach one of first three spots and try to win promotion, at this moment are seven points behind third placed AFC United with one match less played and victory here is a must to reduce that difference. Hosts are playing very well at home, they suffered only one defeat in front of their fans in this campaign, now in 17th round are welcoming Degerfors and I believe that will manage to celebrate in this game. In previous round hosts divided points with Dalkurd away from home while before that achieved narrow victory over same opponent at home ground, in last six rounds were defeated just once against second placed Halmstadt, they are playing good offensive football and for sure will try to continue in the same manner, victory shouldn't be impossible task and I believe that will manage to achieve it. In last four duels against guests they have failed to celebrate and suffered two defeats with two draws, now I believe that will finally celebrate against visitors after more than two years. I'm sure that hosts will earn all three points here and exploit their chance to get closer to a third spot and play offs for promotion, in case of victory they would climb to a 4th spot and i'm sure that will manage to celebrate.

Degerfors on the other side dropped their form, actually since this season started they seems really bad and so far celebrated only three times, currently are at 14th spot at the table in relegation zone and it won't be easy to reach safe zone judging by their recent performances. Here are coming after two defeats while in last nine rounds celebrated only once, previous season they ended in safe zaone without danger to dropp under the red line but now seems pretty bad. They scored 18 goals in 16 rounds but defense is terrible so far conceded 33 goals and have second worst defense in elague, here must show much more than in past few games to earn some points, in previous duel they celebrated against hosts in May but here I really doubt that will repeat that outcome, hosts are playing really good at home and Degerfors must show some really amazing skills to overcome them but I doubt in that. Guests were eliminated from Cup and this season was terrible for them so far, main target now is surviving, they are two points behind safe placed Assyriska and must try to get back on the track as soon as possible, there is still plenty of time but to avoid aditional pressure they must try to reach safe zone, however I doubt that will manage to do something against unpleasant hosts here.

Varnamo are clear favorites in tyhis game, they are in good shape and i'm sure that will continue with earning of points, guests have positive record against Varnamo but they are in terrible shape and it would be a great surprise if they manage to avoid defeat, home side to win is my pick for this game. 


Published Aug-01-2016, 08:26 CET
Betting option: 1X2 / Moneyline
Pick: 1Odds: 1.67   Stake: 10
Bookmaker: bet365
Date: Aug-01-2016
Category: Swedish football

Napoli - Nice

Napoli contribute celebrstion of 90 years of the foundation welcome Nice coverage on Sky. 

Huge fiesta is expected, extraordinary show, never seen before. The presentation of the team, the fireworks and 4 big screens with images of 90 years of passion with perform of orchestra in background. Additional broadcast an audio sent by Diego Maradona message. SSC picked a first warm-up vs Entella 5:0 while his rival lost to Toulouse 1:2, Etoile Sahel 2:1 and drew 1:1 with Servette. Show must go on, so some goals should decorate this special day.. 


Published Aug-01-2016, 02:03 CET
Betting option: Under / Over
Pick: Over 2.5Odds: 1.83   Stake: 10
Bookmaker: Pinnacle
Date: Aug-01-2016
Category: European football

Pogon Szczecin - Slask Wroclaw

Pogon started with away 1:2 loss to Wisla Krakow, then they only drew at home (1:1) against Korona, who are one of the main relegation candidates. Pogon clearly disappointed, now it's time for another home fixture. That Korona game was scheduled at 18:00 CET (Friday), now they play again at 18:00, but on Monday. There were low attendance in their previous home match and probably today it will be the same. Offensive midfielder Akahoshi is sidelined with injury.
Slask started with two goalless draws, against Lech Poznan (home) and Legia Warsaw (away). They played well in Warsaw, it seems that they're getting better as the time goes by. 2-3 players joined the team late in preparations (i.e. Goncalves) and their fitness levels are much better now. On 22th July Slask signed much-wanted striker Mervo and he should make debut in this season today. Mervo already played for Slask in the second part of previous campaign and he did very well here. Earlier this summer he's been at pre-season camp with Slask, then he returned to Sion but fortunately both clubs have finally reached an agreement. Visitors should have full team available.
In my opinion Slask is a better team with better coach and I consider visitors as favourites of this game.


Published Aug-01-2016, 08:11 CET
Betting option: Asian Handicap
Pick: Slask Wroclaw +0.25Odds: 1.95   Stake: 10
Bookmaker: SBOBET
Date: Aug-01-2016
Category: Polish football

Monday, 25 July 2016

WINNING TICKET

1954 HJK - PK - 35Vantaa- 1
7648 LDU Quito - Delfin- 1
3082 Tromso - Stabaek Fotball- 1X
2232 Sirius  - Assyriska- 1
1951 Slovan B - Vion Z- 1
7652 Barcelona G - N Quito- Ov1.5
5665 Tachira - Urena- Ov1.5
Odd: 6.00
Booking Number: QT9PB6

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Mariehamn vs Inter Turku


Mariehamn vs Inter Turku
2nd place vs 10th place
Great form vs terrible form
Strong home team vs weak away team

Mariehamn will be top of the league if they win this. They are currently 2nd with the same amount of points as HJK but behind on goal difference. The last 5 games has resulted in a draw and four straight wins, scoring 8 and conceding only 1 goal. The first 9 home games of the season has resulted in 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss against the leading team. One player, Mantilla (15/0) out with suspension to this game.

Inter Turku is currently one point above relegation and in terrible form. Their last 5 games has resulted in a win against one of the two teams that are under them on the table, and four straight losses after that. Goal difference is 4-7. Their away form this season has been terrible. They opened pretty decent with a 1-2 win, then a 0-0 draw, but after that they have lost 6 games in a row. Mannström(16/1) is suspended.

All the signs and numbers are telling us this will be a safe win for Mariehamn and the odds is acceptable.

Good luck!

Published Jul-25-2016, 10:30 CET
Betting option: Asian Handicap
Pick: Mariehamn -0.5Odds: 1.65   Stake: 10
Bookmaker: bet365
Date: Jul-25-2016
Category: Finnish football

Sunday, 24 July 2016

BOOKING

1954 HJK - PK - 35Vantaa- 1
7648 LDU Quito - Delfin- 1
3082 Tromso - Stabaek Fotball- 1X
2232 Sirius  - Assyriska- 1
1951 Slovan B - Vion Z- 1
7652 Barcelona G - N Quito- Ov1.5
5665 Tachira - Urena- Ov1.5

Odd: 6.00
Booking Number: QT9PB6

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Akranes - Vestmannaeyjar

For another week strange odds moves against Akranes. Last Sunday their price to beat Valur jumped up from 2.80 to 4.20, I had a bet on Akranes +0.5 and they won 2-1 so no clue what is the case. Now odds shifted from 2.00 to 3.00 and pulling the trigger again as normally IA should be favorites in this game... Facing the facts they are doing better than IBV, coming from 4 wins in row, Gardar Gunnlaugsson on fire topping the scorers list of Úrvalsdeild. Last season (after returning to the top flight) IA won both games finishing 10 points over IBV on the table.

Published Jul-24-2016, 10:44 CET
Betting option: Asian Handicap
Pick: Akranes +0.25Odds: 1.85   Stake: 10

Pescara - Teramo

Pescara started to train 10 days before than Teramo: if they have almost completed back front and middle line composition, by the other side they have to build yet competitive attack to face new season in Serie A, cause main scorer Lapadula has been sold and only Cocco (probable to leave too) is the only CF in roster waiting for argentino Simeone and other moves to be completed.
Teramo, 2 cathegories down, have closed the roster with a lot of young players adeguate for their level but without still classic sensational shot.
Match will be played on neutral venue of Palena: despite Pescara are far to be really completed, I guess they should take this match where, by both teams, there will be large rotation in the 2nd half.


Published Jul-24-2016, 00:11 CET
Betting option: 1X2 / Moneyline
Pick: PescaraOdds: 1.5   Stake: 10

Piast Gliwice - Wisla Plock

Piast have a poor start to the new season. Key players of the previous campaign, Vacek and Nespor, have left in summer. Coach Latal wanted reinforcements, but were not given it and he resigned 9 days ago. Temporary coach Necek is in charge of the team, he was given 2 months to prove his abilities. He started in very poor way, with 1:5 away loss to Cracovia. Necek criticised his players after that match and Polish footballers don't like it in general. Hosts have a number of important players doubtful for this match (Hebert, Mraz, Zivec).
Wisla Plock are newcomers, but it seems that they are a solid team and they started well, with a home victory over favoured Lechia (2:1). In my opinion visitors should take advantage of Piast's problems and get a positive result.


Published Jul-24-2016, 09:14 CET
Betting option: Asian Handicap
Pick: Wisla Plock +0.25Odds: 1.88   Stake: 10

Saturday, 23 July 2016

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23.07.16 20:00
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23.07.16 20:00
BRAZIL
Corinthians SP - Figueirense FC
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Norrkoping - Gefle

I want to share my opinion earlier that's because odds will probably drop on match day. I watched the game Norrkoping - Rosenborg yesterday. After 1-3 3-2 results, Norrkoping has eliminated from CL. But It was unfair draw for both teams. I wish Norrkoping would go further. 

They made a big changes in Sweden 2 years ago and they still continue their great home performance. They got 3-3 draw last week but I'm sure that CL match was in their mind and could not focus how they wanted. They have 3 points difference with Malmö and have great chance to take 3 points on Saturday. 

Gefle made a big surprise last week when I had pick opposition them. They somehow were lucky and got a victory after a long time. But it resulted with 2 missing key players. Main defender Rauschenberg is suspended while Oremo is injured. It is big question for me how they will take a point on road against Norrkoping who has scored generally at least 3 goals at home.




Published Jul-21-2016, 21:25 CET
Betting option: Asian Handicap
Pick: Norrkoping -1.5Odds: 2   Stake: 10
Bookmaker: Pinnacle
Date: Jul-23-2016
Category: Swedish football

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Sturm Graz - Red Bull Salzburg

SK Sturm Graz (my favourite club) will play their season opener against double champion and probably best team in the league Red Bull Salzburg. For Sturm it is after the 2:0 cup win against Stadlau (3rdleague) the second match, while Salburg won already 3 games with the 2 Champions league qualification games against FK Liepaja.
Last year was very disappointing for Sturm Graz, they didn’t reach their season goal with the Europa League qualification ticket and due to the poor style of play more and more spectators didn’t go to the stadium, the atmosphere round about the coach Franco Foda is still very negative.
The club made a big change in the player sector, with captain and n#1 goalkeeper Michael Esser left one of a few players the club, which made good performances over the last season to German Bundesliga club Darmstadt 98. Also the loans with 2 starter (Donis Avdijaj and Anastasios Avlonitis) ended and no solution could be find to keep this players longer in Graz. 3 other starters with Klem, Schick & Kamavuaka left the club.
With Uros Matic (the brother of the Chelsea Matic) and Christian Schulz from German relegation team Hannover came two interesting players, most of the other new players might be average in our league. Especially in the second half of the season Sturm had problems to score goals with Deni Alar came a striker who is very injury-prone, maybe he can reach his best Rapid level again then he could help the team, but I’m not sure about that.
With Naby Keita Salzburg lost just 1 starter and they made with Munas Dabbur and Marc Rzatkowski two good transfers. Hinteregger couldn’t convince Gladbach to pay the high price and so he is back in Salzburg and he seems motivate again. (big contrast to first half of last season)
I can’t understand the odds here, Salzburg shouldn’t have above 1.85-1.9 here. They clearly have the better team and the players better know each other, as I wrote above 6 starters left Sturm and new transfers Christian Schulz and new goal keeper Daniel Lück aren’t available tomorrow. 


Published Jul-22-2016, 16:50 CET
Betting option: 1X2 / Moneyline
Pick: SalzburgOdds: 2.2   Stake: 6
Bookmaker: bet365
Date: Jul-23-2016
Category: Austrian football

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15:30 AZ Alkmaar - Hertha 3+ (1.80)
15:30 Rosenborg - Haugesund 3+ (1.70)

16:00 Degerfors - Orgryte 3+ (1.90)


18:00 Molde - Sarpsborg 08 3+ (1.90)


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20:30 Honved - Ferencvaros 1 (4.80)

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Hamilton - St. Mirren


Odds too high in my opinion, One league of difference in favour of hosts, but Hamilton - that already loose first match played of this cup - has to rebuld the defense after the departures of regular keeper McGovern ( 37), Gordon ( def.38 2g), Lucas ( def. 34 3g), plus Garcia-Tena ( def. 20+3 4g) is out today and also player-manager def. Canning has an injury.

Replacement for the back are in most aprt young players that needs time to gel and newcomer midf. Donati seems not ready to start, yet.

It is true that St.Mirren loose striker McMullan ( 12+5 1g) for end of loan from Celtic as Thomson ( midf. 9+20) and Goodwin ( midf.11+5), but should be able to gain at least a draw after already won both matches played in this competitions. No sensible absences reported for them today.

Published Jul-23-2016, 10:50 CET
Betting option: Asian Handicap
Pick: St.Mirren asian +0.5Odds: 1.88   Stake: 10
Bookmaker: Pinnacle
Date: Jul-23-2016
Category: Scottish football

Fiorentina v Panetolikos

Panetolikos will have their first real test today against Italian top side Fiorentina. 

Panetolikos, who finished last season 11th in Greek Super League have made new logo of the team recently and have plans to build new stands on their stadium. Now they are making preparation for new season that will start at the end of August and have much time to get fit and ready. They also have brought some new players like talented Brazilian midfielder Farlei Rosa - who played last 3 seasons in Cyprus. They also signed some young Greek players and have in plan to bring some more foreigners but team as I said is yet to build and compose before the start of the league. Panetolikos played last Saturday friendly match against their U-20 team and won them by 6-0 result. This result will nothing to be today as they will play against one of the best Italian teams who are preparing for their new season and Europa League competition which they qualified for as they have finished last season on 5th position of Serie A.

So we have huge quality difference, between these two teams. From what I understood, Panetolikos finished last night tactical training and will try to play some strong defense against Fiorentina. Also coach will test some new players and will explore their capabilities. This all gives impression that Panetolikos will not care much for the result, of course, it is a friendly match.

Fiorentina also changed a lot of players. They have brought back attacker Mario Gomez and also brought some interesting young foreign players who will try to leave impress to the coach as they are all fighting for position in the team that has much talent. So probably, Fiorentina will treat this match more serious from their opponents today. Also they are playing in Italy so it will be really strange for Fiore not to win this match.

Fiorentina have played already 3 friendly games and made some good results;

20/07/2016 Fiorentina v Trapani 2-1
17/07/2016 Fiorentina v FeralpiSalo 3-1
14/07/2016 Trento v Fiorentina 1-10

Fiorentina have conceded in all 3 games a goal - I believe they will try to make better defensive work today. The quality difference is huge and this -1 Euro handicap should be covered. Still friendly so be careful with the stakes.


Published Jul-22-2016, 23:06 CET
Betting option: Euro handicap (1X2)
Pick: Fiorentina (-1)Odds: 2.05   Stake: 10
Bookmaker: BetVictor
Date: Jul-23-2016
Category: European football

21-07-2016


Friday, 15 July 2016

Rakow Czestochowa - KS Wisla Pulawy

Rakow Czestochowa - KS Wisla Pulawy

15.7.2016,17:00 CET
Poland Pucharski cup
RKS Raków Czestochowa – KS Wisla Pulawy
Pick 1 dnb @ 1.83   5/10     Bet365
Rakow:
The aim for this season remains the same-a promotion into league 1. They consider this match in the cup quite serious.As it’s written in newspapers, the coach is gonna set the best available players. I cite: „To jednak Puchar Polski, a nie sparing i nie możemy traktować tego meczu inaczej jak bardzo poważnie - mówi szkoleniowiec Rakowa. Papszun dodaje, że na boisko wybiegną wszyscy najlepsi na tą chwilę gracze z kadry RKS-u.
- Na pewno będzie to drużyna zbliżona do tej, która walczyć będzie o ligowe punkty - przyznaje trener. - Mówię, że zbliżona, bo mamy kilka kontuzji i nie wszyscy będą mogli w piątek zagrać, ale to już nie jest czas na eksperymenty“.
Rakow have played 5 friendly matches:
Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - RKS Raków 0:3
Ruch Chorzów - RKS Raków 1:0
Piast Gliwice - RKS Raków 1:1
RKS Raków - Chrobry Głogów 0:1
RKS Raków - Berliner Athletik 4:1
Pulawy:
The club’s promoted into league 1. The promotion was without fight. Playoff wasn’t taken place. Zawisza resigned from the competition, so Pulawy and Kluczbork directly got higher. But on Wednesday coach Blawacki left the team for personal reasons. Meanwhile the team will be led by assistant Zlotnik. This is an unpleasant news before the beginning of the league. Everybody is really surprised, noone wants to comment on it.
Paulawy’ve played just 3 friendly matches –with Siedlce 0:0, with Bron Radom 3:2 and with Wolfsburg U23 3:3.
The last mutual matches from league II:
6.Kolejka: 29.08.2015: KS Wisła Puławy - RKS RAKÓW CZĘSTOCHOWA 1:0
Bramka: Głaz 57'

23.Kolejka: 26.03.2016: RKS RAKÓW CZĘSTOCHOWA - KS Wisła Puławy 2:1
Bramki: Klepczyński 6', Figiel 12' - Budzyński 74'


Published Jul-15-2016, 10:06 CET
Betting option: Draw No Bet
Pick: Rakow DNBOdds: 1.83   Stake: 5
Bookmaker: bet365
Date: Jul-15-2016
Category: Polish football

Bayern Hof – SpVgg Bayreuth

Bayern Hof - SpVgg Bayreuth

15.7.2016,18:30 CET
Germany Regionalliga Bayern
Bayern Hof – SpVgg Bayreuth
Pick over 2.5 @ 1.88   5/10   Pinnacle,SBOBET
Hof:
Hofer promoted from Oberliga Bayern into Regionalliga Bayern(promotion play off against Vitoria Aschaffenburg – 2:1 and 2:1). All players are available for coach Miloš Janovský. He is is very satisfied. They are playing first derby match at home,it´s important for them. The coach will have maximal strength for the match. In the last friendly match at home they beat Donaustauf 1:0. Clubs know each other very well.
Bayreuth:
Preparation for a new season was successful. Both teams consider it derby important and want to win. The team is entering the match with problems. There will be missing three important players – at.Glasner 14/4,mdf.Ozdemir 30/7 and mdf.Jainta 5/0 are missing for injury reasons and next uncertain one for the match is mdf.Schmitt 32/5. In the last friendly matches they beat CZ Jena and DJK Bamberg 1:0. They are going to Hof with a big respect. Neither can surprise the rest of them with anything.


Published Jul-15-2016, 09:05 CET
Betting option: Under / Over
Pick: over 2.5Odds: 1.88   Stake: 5
Bookmaker: Pinnacle
Date: Jul-15-2016
Category: German football

Pusamania Borneo - Persipura

First match after break in indonesia tsc. pusamania is big favorite to win this match, i suggest bet on them, it is worth. but i will choose another option. pusamania as the host has no problem, and after a win against persija in last home will bring more supporters in the stadium and their opponent is persipura, i think it will be crowded.
guest team without their main goalkeeper, yoo jae hoon. but their midfielder wanggai and sanadi will be avalaible. another news is boaz is doubtful. i got news ten days ago that he will not come to borneo, but it is still unsure. he is the main local striker.


Published Jul-15-2016, 09:53 CET
Betting option: Under / Over
Pick: Over 2,5Odds: 2.09   Stake: 10
Bookmaker: SBOBET
Date: Jul-15-2016
Category: Indonesian football

FREE TIPS

 Date: 15.07.2016

Time: 19:30

Match: Memmingen – Burghausen

Tip: 1x

Odd: 2.15

FREE GAMES STATS FOR THIS MONTH

DATEMATCHPICKODDRESULT
01.07.2016AC Ajaccio – CA Bastia22.801:2
02.07.2016Värnamo – Dalkurd12.901:0
03.07.2016Internacional – Gremio12.400:1
04.07.2016Inter Turku – VPS23.200:2
05.07.2016Jeunesse Esch – St. Patricks12.702:1
06.07.2016Portugal – Wales12.202:0
07.07.2016Cracovia – Shkendija23.901:2
08.07.2016Bohemians – BrayX3.400:0
09.07.2016Djurgarden – Norrkoping22.900:1
10.07.2016Flamengo – Atletico-MG12.502:0